CD Bank Rates
Current CD Bank Rates are on the rise. Back in May/June 2008, 6-month bank rates ranged from 3.35% to 3.50% and 1-year bank rates were around 3.70%. Now as the FOMC paused again and held the overnight rate (Fed Funds) at 2.00%, competition, demand, and inflation concerns are pushing short-term rates into the 4.00% to 4.25% range. The spread between Fed Funds and CDs is quite large at this time. For some perspective, I researched historical Fed Funds. In 2005, Fed Funds were on the rise. The average rate was 3.25%. This compared to an average 6-month CD rate of 3.74% and 1-year rate at 4.19%. That is a spread of about 50 to 75 Basis Points (0.50% to .75%). In 2006, Fed Funds kept rising until they peaked at 5.25%. The average rate was 4.94%. The average 6-month bank CD rate was 5.28% and the 1-year was 5.40%. The spread narrowed to about 25 to 50 Basis Points. Matter of fact, the spread at one point was inverted. Fed Funds was higher than a 6-month CD Rate. This spread was maintained through 2007, as the Fed Funds was held at 5.25% through August. In September, the FOMC began lowering rates. They went from the 5.25% to our current 2.00% in a fairly short amount of time.
The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is now caught between a rock and a hard place. The economy is still struggling so they are reluctant to raise the overnight rate. However, inflation has certainly been finding its way into our everyday lives. Once the Fed begins to raise rates the spread will most likely shrink as banks will try to hold the line on their rates. The other most likely scenario is for the curve to flatten. Banks won’t want to pay more of an interest rate for any longer than they have too.
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